Q1:
For N=2 , X=1 , produce T=1 ,
4*(N-T)+1=5
X /(Log(N)^2= 2,0814 (counter value)
For N=11890877 , X=400 , produce
T=80200 , 4*(N-T)+1=47242709
X /(Log(N)^2=1.5071
For N=49592066 , X=478 , produce
T=114481 , 4*(N-T)+1=197910341
X /(Log(N)^2=1.5224
For N=93975566 , X=532 , produce
T=141778 , 4*(N-T)+1=375335153
X /(Log(N)^2=1.5785
This is a small table with 'record'
values of u = x / ( Log N )^2 ( p = 4N+1 - 2x(x+1), the corresponding
prime) :
N x p u
11890877 400 47242709 1.50713
49592066 478 197910341 1.52241
93975566 532 375335153 1.57847
No bigger values than 1.57847 are
found for N <= 10^9.
I believe the conjecture is true
because the average number of positive primes of the form 4N+1 -
2x(x+1) is increasing...
To be more precise : the average
number of positive primes of the form 4N+1 - 2x(x+1) is about
2Sqrt[2N]/Log[4N]. This can easily be deduced from the prime number
theorem and also coincides with the results of my computations.